Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.678143 0.775776 0.881627 1.004798 1.144069 1.296547 1.476021
2025-02-02 0.548414 0.685173 0.845862 1.048111 1.295362 1.587255 1.957439
2025-02-09 0.436302 0.591580 0.788092 1.053856 1.402583 1.843133 2.440273
2025-02-16 0.350051 0.512402 0.732567 1.050749 1.496216 2.094686 2.956032
2025-02-23 0.286156 0.449951 0.686820 1.050774 1.591494 2.359726 3.526975
2025-03-02 0.236675 0.398004 0.645738 1.048653 1.680904 2.626337 4.135397
2025-03-09 0.202318 0.362190 0.621728 1.066534 1.800334 2.949870 4.868361
2025-03-16 0.169958 0.323060 0.585162 1.057242 1.873664 3.209647 5.533999
2025-03-23 0.149469 0.300342 0.571585 1.082914 2.006098 3.577750 6.416791
2025-03-30 0.127376 0.270262 0.539714 1.070642 2.069876 3.836893 7.145636
2025-04-06 0.112783 0.251770 0.525770 1.088223 2.188058 4.201895 8.098545
2025-04-13 0.095673 0.224756 0.490791 1.059617 2.214880 4.404140 8.779021
2025-04-20 0.087335 0.215160 0.489699 1.099250 2.381150 4.888057 10.047339
2025-04-27 0.081072 0.209030 0.494877 1.152651 2.582323 5.462293 11.555355
2025-05-04 0.072265 0.195193 0.481021 1.163053 2.695610 5.876224 12.794323
2025-05-11 0.063925 0.180788 0.463442 1.162327 2.784628 6.250532 13.994396
2025-05-18 0.056882 0.168232 0.448047 1.164105 2.879060 6.646144 15.281784
2025-05-25 0.050620 0.156433 0.432468 1.162910 2.966201 7.035206 16.596718
2025-06-01 0.046192 0.148810 0.426117 1.183377 3.106722 7.556766 18.257219
2025-06-08 0.040981 0.137775 0.408955 1.173615 3.172574 7.916396 19.591504
2025-06-15 0.037914 0.132558 0.406605 1.202267 3.337463 8.522311 21.553521
2025-06-22 0.033682 0.122732 0.389698 1.188934 3.393247 8.875602 22.958565
2025-06-29 0.031011 0.117412 0.384870 1.208478 3.537733 9.458935 24.974853